![]() If you, like me, believe that bitcoin is and has been flying under the radar for more than two years now, the natural question to ask is this. Of course, it may not seem this way to people who follow crypto closely and daily but the algorithmic and mass-data collecting Google Trends Score should be trusted over any single person’s speculative and subjective observation about the current level of hype and attention. Sufficed to say, bitcoin’s average score of 13 since the last surge, excluding the three aforementioned months from earlier this year (14 if we include them), shows objectively that bitcoin is flying under the radar (in terms of its popularity as a search term at least). For the last two months (June & July), bitcoin’s monthly Google Trends Score has stayed steady at 13, which is equal to its average from April 2018 (after the peak) through February 2020 (before the halving hype and market crash).įor some additional context, it should be noted that bitcoin’s Google Trends Score has only been equal to or greater than 21 in 7 months since bitcoin’s inception and they all took place consecutively surrounding bitcoin’s last major surge from September 2017 through March 2018 (with scores chronologically of 21, 22, 44, 100, 55, 39, and 23). Since the stock market substantially recovered and the halving event came and went without materially moving bitcoin’s price, the Google Trends Score has returned to the pre-pandemic, pre-halving-hype range. On the other side of the price:score ratio, bitcoin’s price fell along with the market, and so with the price going down and the score going up, the decreased price:score ratio over those few months makes sense. Those two factors together seem sufficient to explain the uptick in bitcoin’s Google Trends Score over that period. Additionally, people perhaps were searching more than usual for information about alternative assets (including bitcoin) when the stock market crashed ~30% in the early days of the lockdown resulting from the pandemic. They took place this past March, April, and May as hype grew in anticipation of bitcoin’s once every four years halving event on May 11, 2020. The 3 months in the last year during which the ratio was lower than 645 can be fairly easily explained. The chart below shows how bitcoin’s price:score ratio has increased over the last several years.įor a ratio that has been relatively volatile historically, it has remained unusually consistent for the last two months (June & July) at 729, just 4% short of its all-time high of 758 in November 2019.īitcoin’s price:score ratio has been above 645 for 9 of the last 12 months after having only reached such a level once before, and barely (646 in October 2018). Let us refer to this as the price:score ratio for short. In order to make this projection, we first must consider the historical ratio between bitcoin’s average price and its Google Trends Score on a monthly basis. Rather, the purpose of this analysis is to make a speculative projection regarding what bitcoin’s price could be if and when its popularity (as measured by its Google Trends Score) returns to and surpasses its previous all-time high. Nonetheless, the purpose of this analysis is not to argue about the level of correlation nor to assert causation one way or another (though it seems logical that the price and popularity feed off of each other). I should note that the correlation between bitcoin’s price and its Google Trends Score was much stronger up until both price and score peaked in December 2017 (98%) than it has been since (59%). This compares favorably to bitcoin’s 26% correlation with the stock market and 24% correlation with gold over the last year. Specifically, they have had a 72% positive correlation since October 2013. It turns out that bitcoin’s price and its Google Trends Score are quite correlated. The darker line shows the price according to the left-side axis and the lighter line shows the Google Trends Score according to the right-side axis. When I first saw the second chart, I thought it looked remarkably similar to the first. This second chart shows the Google Trends Score by month for the search term “bitcoin”, also since October 2013. The chart below shows the monthly average price of bitcoin since October 2013. ![]()
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![]() However, this should not be happening in the first place. It is underhand and misleading but I have to say that they moved really quickly to sort it out and get the money back to my dad so on that part I commend them. I really do think that this is not the way any company should do business. The entire 26 x £10 was back on the credit card within one week of the phone call so the whole mess was sorted out in about two weeks. It turned out not to be a form but a set of questions in an email which I completed and sent back having answered all of them. #MYTIME REWARDS FULL#He also told me (perhaps after my no-nonsense approach) that if it could be proved that I hadn't used the mytime service in the time I had been paying then I would get a full refund of the remaining 23 payments. He immediately offered 3 months back and said I would have to complete a form to claim the rest. I am not one to take this kind of bullying and I quite forcefully insisted I had not signed up and told him that the media coverage about their company is appalling and that I wanted all my money back which amounted to 26 payments of £10. At first the guy on the phone tried to bully me into accepting that we must have signed up. Firstly I cancelled the payment with his credit card company then I got on the phone to mytime rewards and told them exactly what I thought of them. Just recently discovered that MyTime Rewards had been taking £10 per month since January 2015 from my dad's credit card. ![]() ![]() Bardic Inspiration uses scale with Proficiency Bonus (hereafter “PB”), which is no surprise, and the die size increases on the 5s (5 th, 10 th, 15 th) as in ’14. Bardic Inspiration is now a Reaction to either add your Bardic Inspiration die to the result of a failed d20 Test, or to heal a creature for that amount when they take damage.This is borne out later, but we see here that Shortswords are Simple Weapons now. Only Simple Weapons, at base we can assume that Valor expands that. #School of magic pathfinder full#Most of the fundamentals are the same – d8 HD, Dex/Cha as proficient saves, 3 Skills chosen from the full list, three Musical Instruments, Light Armor training.I like the idea of the Bard being something special, at least. The flavor text puts more emphasis on “Bards are more than just musicians” than I think I’ve seen before. I’m predicting that getting locked out of some feats, and thus some character build strategies that were possible in 2014’s rules, will be the enduring legacy of this structure. Class groups, as we’ll see, strongly inform feat options, though they’re not shy about building in cutouts – as with the Ranger getting inherent permission to buy fighting style feats, or feats belonging to more than one group.We’re going to see a lot of features built around access to a short selection of off-list spells, especially in subclasses that let you get into a different class role.The Expert group doesn’t strictly attach to any of the spell lists – Bards are limited-Arcane (with a somewhat messy splash of spells found only in Divine/Primal), Rangers are Primal, and we can safely assume that Artificers will likewise be limited-Arcane with a splash for healing options.What they do have in common is that they’ll do well in skill-centered situations – let’s talk about that idea again when I get to the Rules Glossary. Rangers are strikers who can feat their way into defenders. Bards are leaders/controllers who can be strikers with the right subclass picks. It has minimal correlation to 4e-like party role.The 2014 Bard and Rogue already had Expertise features the 2014 Ranger gets to double their proficiency bonus for all proficient skills in their favored terrain, while the TCOE Ranger replaces Natural Explorer with Canny (Expertise in one skill) at 1 st level.Ī couple of interesting things about class groups here: These classes are defined by sharing the Expertise feature – if you’re new here, that means they can pick two or more skills to double their proficiency bonus on. The Artificer isn’t in this document and won’t be in the 2024 PH, but we know that it’ll be an Expert when it’s released. This document includes the three classes of the Expert group: the Bard, the Ranger, and the Rogue. What I’m saying is, I don’t think this is as useful a presentation as they need to get to. Even within this document, the selection of “Dexterity, Wisdom” for rangers is a weird choice – Strength rangers work great, post-TCOE, and I would be dismayed if that changed. Only in multiclassing do you have to meet a prereq. (I’m still struggling with the style guide change that capitalizes like a German with a nasty caps-lock fetish.)Ĭharacter Origins | Expert Classes Parts of a ClassĮach Class has a primary ability, very much akin to 2e’s prime requisites except that, you know, you could hypothetically play a given Class with a low score in that ability. Gotta wonder what “new Weapon options for certain Classes” means.Ī system for creating a home base – or any kind of shared asset – is a very exciting promise. I expect I will be very sad to see what gets chopped to make way for 48 subclasses, because let’s be real, 4 for each of 12 is more likely than “some get two, two get eight.” It’s just that I’m really attached to more than four of the Domains and more than for Arcane Traditions! Also… I wonder how long after the PH release we’ll have to wait to get updated versions of the rest of the 2014 subclasses. It’s complicated to write about this material without that assumption, but in any case I’ll try to avoid overheated rhetoric if you will, okay? I know exactly how tempting it is to discuss all of this as if it’s final release text, and to get worked up about it as a result. Metaphorically, anyway, unless you also printed a copy? It is a heckin’ chonker of a packet, with three classes (one subclass each), a mess of feats and epic boons, the complete PH spell lists, and a hefty new rules glossary that overwrites the previous one. Following Wednesday’s announcement with Jeremy Crawford and Todd Kenreck, we now have the new Unearthed Arcana packet in our grubby little nubbies. ![]() ![]() Friends say he posed for photos with anyone who asked, including police officers. He was known for driving around in an old police cruiser with the words “Zombie Hunter,” on the trunk and a zombie mannequin in the back seat. Miller was a celebrity, of sorts, to Phoenix-area cosplay, sci-fi, and horror convention fans. RELATED: Former friend says ‘Zombie Hunter’ felt uncomfortable around women The reality, according to investigators, was even more bizarre. The precision used in their murders led police to explore the possibility that the killer was a surgeon or a special forces operative. Both were killed with a knife, and Brosso was beheaded. However, the prosecution said he is guilty of murder and sexual assault.īrosso and Bernas were riding their bicycles along bike paths when they were killed. The defense has basically conceded that Miller committed these crimes but is arguing he is ‘not guilty by reason of insanity,’ pointing to Miller suffering from autism and dissociative disorders at the time, as well as abuse from his mom. Trent Crump, back in 2015, when Miller was arrested. “To think that someone who has killed in that fashion, that there weren’t other crimes related this, is unlikely,” said Sgt. But even back then, police believed there were more victims out there. Those killings were known as the Phoenix Canal Murders. But police believe Miller is responsible for more attacks than the pair of decades-old that could land him on death row.ĭNA left at the scenes of the Angela Brosso and Melanie Bernas murders in 19 played a crucial role in leading police to Miller, more than two decades after the crimes were committed. This is a bench trial, meaning there is no jury, and it will be up to the judge whether or not Miller is found guilty of these murders. 3, in the case against Bryan Patrick Miller, known to Phoenix sci-fi fans as The Zombie Hunter. #Zombie hunter jinx trial"Not only did they live in the same neighborhood, but we have information from the day of her disappearance that she was working the area where Bryan Miller lived while she was out trying to raise money, book club money I think it was, at the time," said Crump.PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) - Trial begins today, Oct. "At the time I truly believed he was just making up a story," said Amy.īut now Amy - and the police - think Bryan Patrick Miller may have been telling the horrible truth. "He said he had grabbed her and dragged her in the house," said Amy.Ĭrime Watch Daily agreed not to air the story of Miller's alleged murder of Brandy Myers until police could further investigate it. "It is certainly part of the evidence we were looking at in this case."Īmy had told police the very same story on the very same day she spoke to Crime Watch Daily in an exclusive interview during our recent investigation into the "canal murders." "I don't think there's any doubt that the charging that was brought forward here from his ex-wife was helpful," said Sgt. "After the review of those charges the county attorney asked for additional information or further follow-up investigation from our investigators at this point," said Crump.Ī key part of the police evidence came from Miller's ex-wife, Amy, who told Crime Watch Daily that he had confessed to her in horrific detail how he murdered Brandy Myers. revealed to Crime Watch Daily that it has already submitted a charge of first-degree murder against Miller in Brandy Myers's tragic missing person's case. 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